After fifteen years, Orbán may be replaced by the opposition. In many ways, however, they are similar.
Hungary is heading toward what may be its most consequential election since the fall of communism. After fifteen years in power, Viktor Orbán faces his strongest challenger yet—Péter Magyar and the TISZA party, which now leads independent polls and appeals across regions and generations. The upcoming vote may reshape the country’s democratic trajectory and its relationship with the EU. The article was commented on by Oszkár Roginer-Hofmeister, Head of the Global Europe Programme.
21. November 2025

According to Oszkár Roginer-Hofmeister, an analyst at the Europeum think tank and a scholar of Hungarian studies, Magyar’s success lies in his ability to speak to a broad audience — appealing to both liberal and conservative voters. He is also effective in engaging younger generations, something Fidesz has consistently struggled with. Unlike other parties, he can mobilise large numbers of young people who previously remained untouched by political outreach.
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